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Antarctic and Greenland ice sheet thinning spreads

24 September 2009, by Tamera Jones

The most comprehensive study of Antarctic and Greenland glaciers yet shows that ice-sheet thinning has reached the far north of Greenland, has intensified in Antarctica and is spreading and penetrating far into the interior of both ice sheets.

Glacier meets ocean

A glacier meets the ocean in the Antarctic.

The researchers report in Nature that thinning has continued decades after the collapse of large ice shelves and say that a combination of warmer summers and warm ocean currents are most likely to blame.

This is the first time scientists have been able to see just how much ice sheets are thinning as a result of accelerating glaciers.

'Glaciers can lose ice because less snow falls on them, because summer melting increases, or because the glaciers start to flow faster, which puts the glacier 'out of balance'. What we've shown is that many glaciers across both regions are considerably out of balance, because they are flowing faster,' says Dr Hamish Pritchard of British Antarctic Survey, who led the study.

Dynamic thinning

Pritchard and his team, which included scientists from the University of Bristol used data from NASA's ICESat satellite - Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite - to compare how fast ice in fast-moving glaciers moved compared with ice in slow-moving ice next to the glaciers. The data the team analysed covered a five-year period, from 2003 to 2008.

The team's results show 'the glaciers have lost ice, because they're accelerating towards the sea'.

'It seems that when ice shelves collapse it's like a shock, like taking a cork out of a bottle and the effect propagates rapidly inland and persists for decades.'
Dr Hamish Pritchard, British Antarctic Survey

'Ice loss from accelerating glaciers, called dynamic thinning, is a much faster way of losing ice from an ice sheet than melting alone. We think this is what happened to some of the great ice sheets at the end of the last Ice Age,' explains Pritchard.

'Our results show that ice loss is happening in many parts of Antarctica and Greenland. We're surprised at just how widespread this is,' he adds.

Some researchers have suggested that changing wind patterns have re-directed ocean currents south and brought warm water into direct contact with ice in Antarctica, a view supported by the authors.

Some of the fastest thinning glaciers such as Pine Island Glacier and neighbouring Smith and Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica are thinning by as much as 9 metres per year.

Poorly understood

Ice loss from dynamic thinning is poorly understood. So much so that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) decided not to include it in its latest predictions of sea level rise.

'We don't have a very good understanding of sudden glacier acceleration and how the changes we see along the coast spread inland into the ice sheet interior. That's partly because we know so little about the beds of glaciers hidden by up to thousands of metres of ice, or about the oceans surrounding the ice sheets. These places are difficult to explore.'

'But dynamic thinning of Antarctic and Greenland glaciers could become by far the biggest contribution to sea level rise, so the IPCC's prediction of an 18 to 59 centimetre rise over the next century could be an underestimate,' adds Pritchard.

Ice sheet thinning

Ice sheet thinning in Antarctica and Greenland. Red areas indicate regions of strongest thinning.

'What we do see is that the strongest thinning is where glaciers speed up as a result of ice shelf collapse. It seems the collapse is like a shock, like taking a cork out of a bottle and the effect propagates rapidly inland and persists for decades,' says Pritchard.

Scientists have known for a few years that glaciers are accelerating in Antarctica and Greenland, but because both regions are so difficult to access, it's been a challenge to get a complete picture of the severity of the situation.

Up until now, the standard approach scientists have used to understand how the regions are changing is to mount radars on polar-orbiting satellites to measure ice height. Radar satellites have let scientists get a broad picture of ice loss in both regions. In an effort to get a more detailed picture, NASA launched ICESat in January 2003.

ICESat uses lasers to measure ice height. Lasers give scientists much higher resolution images and the satellite's orbit also means the whole of the Antarctic coastline can be imaged. 'Its cover is more extensive and the resolution is better. Comparing radar and laser is like comparing a torch beam with the point of a laser,' explains Pritchard.

Technology has moved on since the first radar satellites however. Cryosat-2, a European Space Agency Satellite due for launch at the end of February 2010 uses the next generation radars and has been specifically designed to deliver high resolution images of the coastal areas in both polar regions which will help researchers monitor changes.


Extensive dynamic thinning on the margins of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets
Hamish D Pritchard, Robert J Arthern, David G Vaughan & Laura A Edwards
Nature, doi:10.1038/nature08471


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Your comments

Potential sea level rise due to global warming has been seriously underestimated. Not even the worst-case scenarios have mentioned the very real potential for a meter or more rise by 2050

Kevin, Salmo, B.C ; Canada
Monday, 28 September 2009 - 15:52

Your coloured image of Antarctica and Greenland ice sheet changes is not very convincing. The blue areas indicate regions of thickening ice and, as anyone can plainly see, there is at least as much blue as there is red.

Perhaps you should air-brush the image to hide the blue areas. We wouldn't want readers to know that both ice sheets are actually increasing in mass and not thinning as you seem to want them to believe.

Peter, London, UK
Thursday, 17 December 2009 - 14:20

Yes, why do these scientists even waste their time measuring these things when you already know perfectly well from the comfort of your armchair that it's inconceivable the Antarctic ice cap could be thinning? They may have spent their careers studying Antarctic ice, but you've spent several seconds glancing at a map on a website and can therefore see right through their shenanigans - the ice is obviously getting thicker by the day!

Tom Marshall, Editor, Planet Earth Online
Friday, 18 December 2009 - 12:53

Assuming the article is correct and the ice sheets are thinning, what does the blue color mean? According to the graph put out by the article, blue means it is getting thicker. Blue is also the dominate color on the images. So either the premise of the article is wrong or the images are wrong. Mocking people that can point out the obvious doesn't change that.

Cory, USA
Friday, 18 December 2009 - 17:30

Presumably those who deal in sarcasm are happy with sarcastic replies. Obviously it doesn't advance the debate much, but then again conspiracy theories are far more counterproductive, effectively making rational discussion impossible, and they seem to be all the rage at the moment.

Most of the Antarctic map is obviously in the light-blue/turquoise/greenish yellow/yellow bit of the spectrum, implying relatively small gains or reductions in thickness. There are some bits of red and some dark blue, indicating more significant ice thinning/thickening. It's not at all obvious what the total area of the thickening versus thinning ice is. You'll also have noted that the scale goes a lot further in the direction of thinning than in the direction of thickening - there are dark burgundy areas that represent up to 1.5m of thinning, though they're a bit tricky to make out with the map this size.

But the issue isn't really relevant anyway, as the article isn't making any particular claim about the net area over which ice is getting thinner compared to the net area over which it's thickening. Its main point is that the thinning is accelerating and taking place in more areas than before, propagating inland from the coast. In particular, it's happening around glaciers, and this matters because we know accelerating glaciers can cause ice sheets to lose ice very quickly. Not all parts of the ice sheet are the same; it's simplistic to think you can eyeball a map, make a judgement on the total area of thinning versus that of thickening and conclude that this means the accompanying claims about ice sheet thinning are wrong. Still less can you go on to conclude that the total mass of the ice sheet is increasing.

Tom Marshall, Editor, Planet Earth Online
Tuesday, 22 December 2009 - 16:46